Jones Knows' Premier League Predictions for This Weekend
After an impressive 11/1 best bet treble last weekend, our football betting expert, Jones Knows, is back with insightful predictions on every Premier League game. With a keen eye on statistics and recent performances, here are the anticipated outcomes for the upcoming matches.
West Ham vs Chelsea (Saturday 12:30pm)
Despite Chelsea's recent string of victories, including four away wins where they scored 12 goals, their underlying performance metrics suggest a more shaky foundation. The expected goals (xG) tally reveals they have overperformed—they secured a score of 7-2, while the xG ratio stands at 2.51-3.74, indicating potential vulnerabilities.
West Ham, returning to form, should be able to capitalize on Chelsea’s defensive weaknesses. A home win appears likely, with a score prediction of 2-1 in favor of West Ham.
Aston Villa vs Wolves (Saturday 3pm)
This fixture is known for its card-heavy nature, fueled by the rivalry between the two clubs. Historically, these matches have averaged 67 booking points. With Villa's recent disciplinary record showing 15 yellows in their last four games, the odds on 60 or more bookings points at Evens are a strong bet.
The score prediction stands at 2-1 in favor of Aston Villa.
Fulham vs Newcastle (Saturday 3pm)
Fulham is struggling against Newcastle, with a dismal record that includes six consecutive losses and only two goals scored in their last seven encounters. However, Newcastle's defensive metrics might lead to this streak changing. Fulham’s potential to score against a shaky Newcastle defense makes the match a close call, but I’m leaning towards a home win at odds of 9/5.
Score prediction: 2-1 for Fulham.
Leicester vs Everton (Saturday 3pm)
Leicester's results have been better than their performances suggest, and they have consistently lost the expected goals battle, making it difficult for them to be seen as a reliable team. Everton’s attacking flair look set to exploit this weakness, especially given their increased output in recent games. At odds of 8/5, an away win for Everton is a smart bet.
Score prediction: 2-1 for Everton.
Liverpool vs Bournemouth (Saturday 3pm)
Bournemouth has struggled significantly against top-six teams, and their poor track record indicates a tough trip to Anfield. Even with attractive odds for an away win at 8/1, expecting Liverpool to dominate is more realistic. Dominik Szoboszlai, having scored midweek, could be a key player for Liverpool, with odds of 9/2 for him to score.
Score prediction: 3-1 for Liverpool.
Southampton vs Ipswich (Saturday 3pm)
Southampton has shown glimpses of potential but remains inconsistent, especially when considering their last match against Manchester United. The performance of Tyler Dibling stands out, as he showcased intriguing play. With Tyler drawing fouls and Ipswich's Leif Davis likely to contribute to fouls, exploring the fouls market might yield returns. The score prediction here is a draw, 1-1.
Tottenham vs Brentford (Saturday 3pm)
Brentford’s low-block defense will pose problems for a Spurs side that tends to struggle in creating clear chances under pressure. Given Tottenham’s issues with set-pieces and Brentford’s ability to capitalize on such situations, I'm predicting a low-scoring draw.
Score prediction: 1-1.
Crystal Palace vs Manchester United (Saturday 5:30pm)
With Crystal Palace having delivered a stunning 4-0 victory over United last season, the stakes are high. United’s mixed form builds concern, especially given their prior struggles against Palace’s tactical approach. I am siding with the home side.
Score prediction: 2-1 for Crystal Palace.
Brighton vs Nottingham Forest (Sunday 2pm)
Brighton's aggressive offside strategy has proven effective but risky, leading to potential scoring opportunities for opponents. Nottingham Forest can exploit this. I envision scoring opportunities for both teams under this approach.
Score prediction: 1-1.
Manchester City vs Arsenal (Sunday 4:30pm)
Arsenal's odds of winning without conceding are tantalizing and suggest plenty of value. With their robust record away from home and City showing defensive vulnerabilities recently, Arsenal is a solid pick to at least avoid defeat.
Score prediction: 0-1 for Arsenal.
Jones Knows' Best Bets of the Weekend
- Everton to beat Leicester (8/5 with Sky Bet)
- Under 3.5 goals in Tottenham vs Brentford (8/11 with Sky Bet)
- Arsenal to avoid defeat (Evens with Sky Bet)
- Arsenal to win to nil (13/2 with Sky Bet)
For more in-depth analysis and betting advice, make sure to stay tuned to our ongoing coverage of the Premier League.
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