U.S. Employment Landscape Shows Improvement in September
According to CoinDesk, the U.S. employment landscape exhibited noticeable improvement in September, as the government reported the addition of 254,000 jobs. This figure surpassed economist predictions, which estimated a creation of only 140,000 jobs. Furthermore, data from August was also revised, with job gains adjusted from 142,000 to 159,000.
Unemployment Rate Decreases
The unemployment rate for September decreased to 4.1%, down from 4.2% in August, defying forecasts that anticipated the rate to hold steady at 4.2%.
Bitcoin Prices and Economic Factors
In the wake of these developments, Bitcoin's price remained stable, trading around $61,500, marking an increase of nearly 1.5% over the past 24 hours. However, Bitcoin prices reflect a decrease from the previous week, where they saw levels above $66,000. This fluctuation in Bitcoin values can be attributed to various macroeconomic factors, notably the escalation of conflict in the Middle East.
According to CoinDesk analyst James Van Straten, a robust U.S. economy tends to alleviate market uncertainties, especially with the upcoming U.S. elections, which is considered a positive development for Bitcoin.
Average Hourly Earnings Trends
In September, average hourly earnings rose by 0.4%, surpassing forecasts that expected a 0.3% increase, but showing a slight decline from 0.5% recorded in August. Year-over-year, average hourly earnings saw an increase of 4.0%, outpacing the estimated 3.8% and the previous month's rate of 3.9%.
Market Reactions and Federal Reserve Expectations
Recent economic reports, including the ISM Services report and ADP jobs data, both of which were stronger than anticipated, have influenced trader sentiment regarding potential moves from the Federal Reserve. Comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell have also prompted a shift in expectations for interest rate adjustments, with traders reducing the anticipated likelihood of a 50 basis point rate cut at the Fed's upcoming policy meeting after the November elections.
Prior to the jobs report, markets had estimated a 30% chance of a 50 basis point cut and a 70% chance of a 25 basis point cut, according to CME FedWatch. However, following the latest data release, the probability of a 50 basis point cut plummeted to 11%.
Traditional Market Responses
In response to the employment data, traditional markets exhibited gains, with U.S. stock index futures increasing notably. The Nasdaq 100 rose by 0.8%, while the U.S. 10-year yield climbed by eight basis points to 3.94%. Concurrently, the dollar index increased by 0.5%, while the price of gold fell by 0.5%, landing at $2,665 per ounce.
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